92 forecasters

How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?

Current estimate

49.2 Deaths

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 8, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 10, 2025

Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

Health & Pandemics

Ebola cases double as towns lock down to prevent spread and global health officials fear another pandemic

Daily Mail•Sep 12, 2025

Ebola vaccine reaches epicenter of Congo outbreak as officials race to contain spread

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2025

Ebola cases in Congo rise as authorities race to contain spread of outbreak, health agency says

Associated Press•Sep 11, 2025

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