158 forecasters

How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?

Current estimate

47.3 Deaths

Top Key Factors

impact of losing frontline health workers

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 8, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 10, 2025

Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

Health & Pandemics

Congo’s last Ebola patient discharged, raising hopes outbreak is over

PBS NewsHour•Oct 21, 2025

Congo’s last Ebola patient has been discharged, raising hopes that outbreak might be over

Associated Press•Oct 20, 2025

Last Ebola patient discharged in DR Congo, WHO says

Al Jazeera•Oct 20, 2025

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