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88 forecasters

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88 forecasters

U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?

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0 comments85 forecasters

Any US state having no anti-SLAPP law?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

0 comments84 forecasters

Will SCOTUS weaken donor disclosure rules for political spending in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2 comments110 forecasters

DOJ files charges against journalist under Espionage Act in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

0 comments112 forecasters

US court block election result because of fraud in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

0 comments98 forecasters

Election result blocked by US court due to foreign interference in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2 comments94 forecasters

(Attempted) murder of ≥2 US judges or legislators in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: Yes

2025-2026result: Yes

2 comments97 forecasters

US executive in contempt for not obeying a court ruling in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026result: Yes

0 comments94 forecasters

Nominee blocked from US statewide office ballot by opposition in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No