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99 forecasters

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99 forecasters

U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?

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2 comments103 forecasters

Will DOJ leaders deviate to prosecute a presidential opponent in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

4 comments103 forecasters

White House directs agencies to target ≥3 presidential critics in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026result: Yes

3 comments104 forecasters

Will the US administration alter economic indicator releases in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

1 comment90 forecasters

DOJ to indict high-profile US president opponent in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: Yes

2 comments110 forecasters

DOJ files charges against journalist under Espionage Act in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

3 comments89 forecasters

District population deviation of ≥12% in >5 states?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2 comments97 forecasters

US executive in contempt for not obeying a court ruling in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026result: Yes

0 comments112 forecasters

US court block election result because of fraud in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No