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74 forecasters

74 forecasters

U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Will the U.S. Senate pass a reconciliation bill with no CBO input on Byrd Rule compliance in the following years?

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0 comments99 forecasters

Will the U.S. Senate pass another budget reconciliation bill by July 4, 2026?

3 comments111 forecasters

New limits on voting by US Congress in the following years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: Yes

2025-2026result: Yes

0 comments93 forecasters

≥3 Senate or governor races hold no debates in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

3 comments104 forecasters

Will the US administration alter economic indicator releases in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2 comments97 forecasters

US executive in contempt for not obeying a court ruling in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026result: Yes

0 comments84 forecasters

Will SCOTUS weaken donor disclosure rules for political spending in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

1 comment33 forecasters

AI moratorium BBB

2 comments93 forecasters

US House maps show a ≥20 seat party advantage in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No