Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

93 forecasters

93 forecasters

U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Will three or more competitive Senate or governor races hold no general election debates in the following years?

Forecasts

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

0 comments93 forecasters

No debates between nominees in US elections in the following years?

2021-2022Annulled

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026Annulled

0 comments93 forecasters

2 US governor/Senator candidates not conceding in these elections?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

0 comments94 forecasters

Nominee blocked from US statewide office ballot by opposition in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

0 comments92 forecasters

State not submitting electoral votes to Congress on time in these elections?

2021-2022Annulled

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026Annulled

0 comments103 forecasters

Losing US presidential candidate not conceding in these elections?

2021-2022Annulled

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026Annulled

0 comments85 forecasters

Any US state having no anti-SLAPP law?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2 comments93 forecasters

US House maps show a ≥20 seat party advantage in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2 comments94 forecasters

(Attempted) murder of ≥2 US judges or legislators in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: Yes

2025-2026result: Yes