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66 forecasters

66 forecasters

Metaculus Learning Academy

Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year?

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2 comments118 forecasters

AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

11 comments168 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?

11 comments240 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Gavin Newsom26.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.4%

Pete Buttigieg7.4%

1 comment78 forecasters

5Y after AGI, AI company dominates economy?

6 comments72 forecasters

Will a company with 1 employee achieve a $1 billion valuation before 2030?

6 comments97 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet CEO pledge AI autonomy limits before 2027?

21 comments813 forecasters

ΑI safety law enacted in the US in 2026?

14 comments247 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

Ron DeSantis4.7%

Marco Rubio17.7%