74 forecasters

Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025?

90%chance

90%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 22, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Resolved:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 26, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

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Is the US government still closed? Here's what we know on Wednesday, Oct. 15.

USA Today•Oct 15, 2025

Prediction markets see cloudy outlook as traders bet on extended shutdown

FOX News•Oct 15, 2025

Government Shutdown Day 14: Federal Layoffs Will Continue, White House Says

Forbes•Oct 14, 2025

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