Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
5
74
forecasters
2
5 comments
74 forecasters
Metaculus Learning Academy
3 more...
Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
Yes
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (5)
Timeline
Key Factors (4)
Question Info
Similar Questions
Public opinion
Decreases Likelihood
1
0
Bundling Ukraine aid
Increases Likelihood
1
0
Polarizing riders
Increases Likelihood
1
0
Market reaction
Decreases Likelihood
1
0
12 comments
212 forecasters
Trump closes NYSE or NASDAQ before January 20, 2029?
5%
chance
0 comments
99 forecasters
Will the U.S. Senate pass another budget reconciliation bill by July 4, 2026?
51%
chance
2 comments
14 forecasters
USPS privatized before Jan 20, 2029?
12%
chance
2 comments
34 forecasters
Will the Trump administration impose price controls?
57%
chance
1 comment
152 forecasters
Number of federal government employees in November 2026?
Current estimate
2673 thousand people
3 comments
44 forecasters
US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?
41.5%
chance
0 comments
153 forecasters
Presidential Impoundment Authority Expanded Before November 3, 2026?
12%
chance
0 comments
8 forecasters
Federal spending as % of GDP in 2028?
Current estimate
24.1%