60 forecasters

Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025?

70%chance

69.9 pp this week

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 22, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 26, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

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Will there be a government shutdown? Trump and Democrats ready for Monday showdown

USA Today•Sep 29, 2025

Everything you need to know if the government shuts down on Oct. 1

New York Post•Sep 29, 2025

A look at previous government shutdowns and how they ended

Associated Press•Sep 29, 2025

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