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32 comments
158 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

89%chance
6 pp this week
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
ADQ
Opened:Sep 29, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
Economy & Business
Geopolitics
CNBC logo
Argentine peso hits fresh lows despite U.S. support — and it could be about to get worse
CNBC•Oct 22, 2025
Al Jazeera logo
Argentina’s central bank says it signed $20bn currency swap deal with US
Al Jazeera•Oct 21, 2025
Jacobin logo
The Political Economy of “Make Argentina Default Again”
Jacobin•Oct 21, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

92% chance
48

Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy before 2028?

10% chance
82

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?

60% chance
1.1k
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