Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
ๆ
Log in
Sign Up
48
comments
130
forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
20%
chance
Share
Predict
Top Key Factors
View all (12)
US pledge to bail out Argentina already made
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
14 votes
Show of support from Trump is possible
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
10 votes
Milei's election victory stabilises peso speculation
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
4 votes
US has shown that its preferred approach is either peso-buying or leveraging private institutions
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
3 votes
Utilising the swap line comes with costs that Argentina is reluctant to incur
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
4 votes
Easy requirements for 'Yes' resolution
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
9 votes
Risk to US taxpayers from currency interventions
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
3 votes
Potential Trump backlash for Argentina support
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
3 votes
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
ADQ
Opened:
Sep 29, 2025
Closes:
Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 1, 2025
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
Economy & Business
Geopolitics
News Match
Scott Bessent SCHOOLS liberal anchor on simple math: 'Do you know what that is?'
Daily Mail
โข
Nov 11, 2025
Hungarian leader Orban says he secured โfinancial shieldโ from Trump
Al Jazeera
โข
Nov 10, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
80%
chance
19
Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy before 2028?
10%
chance
81
Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?
60%
chance
1.1k
Show More Questions