Question
When will the US unemployment rate fall to 4% or lower for the first time since the COVID-19 crisis of 2020?
Resolved:15 Dec 2021Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction
18 Jul 2023
(06 Jun 2022 - 16 Dec 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 06 Jun 2022 | — |
| median | 18 Jul 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | 16 Dec 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2024 | 24.2% | — |
What was the final result?15 Dec 2021
Community Baseline Score
-14.7
Community Peer Score
49.6
Authors:
Opened:Apr 7, 2020
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolves:Jan 7, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 8, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 7, 2020
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolves:Jan 7, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 8, 2020