52 forecasters

Which party will win the Virginia gubernatorial election of 2025?

Democrats (Spanberger)96%

Republicans (Earl-Sears)3.9%

Other0.1%

Forecast Timeline

Democrats (Spanberger)

Republicans (Earl-Sears)

Other

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Authors:

Opened:

Oct 1, 2025

Closes:

Nov 4, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 5, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 4, 2025

RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge

Nation's only two 2025 races for governor rocked with three weeks until Election Day

FOX News•Oct 14, 2025

Poll: Earle-Sears, Spanberger in Dead Heat in Virginia Governor's Race

Breitbart•Oct 14, 2025

Virginia’s Elections Will Reveal the True Face of the Democratic Party

PJ Media•Oct 14, 2025

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