22
148 forecasters
Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?
ResolvedYes
Tamir Nimrodi and Bipin Joshi not part of the release of the 20 living hostages
Decreases Likelihood
Trump announcement
Increases Likelihood
Hamas lacks control over all hostages
Decreases Likelihood
Al-Quds Brigades' independent actions
Increases Likelihood