77 forecasters

How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?

Current estimate

1.22 provinces

Top Key Factors

Measures, including financial aid and VAT reduction, have been set in motion

State of emergency repealed on October 27

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 27, 2025

Closes:

Dec 15, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 25, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2025

Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

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