Question
What proportion of House Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?
Resolved:7.08Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction
4.91
(2.4 - 8.78)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.398 | — |
| median | 4.907 | — |
| upper 75% | 8.776 | — |
What was the final result?7.08
Community Baseline Score
70.6
Community Peer Score
7.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Sep 5, 2020
Resolves:Feb 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Sep 5, 2020
Resolves:Feb 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020