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    What proportion of House Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?

    Created by randallburns on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Published by randallburns on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}

    Question

    In 2018, 1.1% of all House Democrats were defeated according to Ballotpedia

    This question asks: What percent of House Democrats seeking another term will be defeated in the 2020 elections?

    This question will be resolved according to the numbers published on Ballotpedia. If that resource is unavailable, Metaculus can choose a suitable replacement or resolve as ambiguous.

    If elections are not held by the end of 2020, this question will be resolved as ambiguous.

    This question has the following companion questions covering other congressional houses and parties:

    What proportion of Senate Republican Incumbents Defeated in 2020

    What proportion of House Republican Incumbents defeated in 2020

    What proportion of Senate Democratic Incumbents Defeated in 2020

    Categories:
    Elections – U.S. – congressional

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