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10
48
forecasters
4
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48 forecasters
Elections
1 more...
What proportion of House Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?
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4.91
result
7.08
Resolved
7.08
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GOP House advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
-8.35 seats
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Dem House before 2027?
10.6%
chance
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US House plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
84%
Republicans
15.9%
Other
0.1%
4 comments
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Democratic Socialist Congresspeople in 2031
Current estimate
13.2 congresspeople
0 comments
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What will Dems' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026?
Current estimate
7.02%
6 comments
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GOP Senate advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
0.66 seats
0 comments
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What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?
Current estimate
-0.644 votes
2 comments
93 forecasters
US House maps show a ≥20 seat party advantage in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
20%
2027-2028
24%