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5 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 17, 2025
Closes:Dec 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 1, 2026
How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?
166 forecasters
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
Aug 2048
(May 2033 - 2121)
Aug 2048
(May 2033 - 2121)
109 forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Jan 2031
(23 Aug 2026 - Aug 2040)
Jan 2031
(23 Aug 2026 - Aug 2040)
181 forecasters