Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2020
Closes:Mar 1, 2021
Resolved:May 10, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 14, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will OpenAI announce that it has solved the core technical challenges of superintelligence alignment by June 30, 2027?
1% chance
214
When will OpenAI publicly release Sora, its text-to-video model?
>30 Dec 2025
(21 Dec 2025 - >30 Dec 2025)
>30 Dec 2025
(21 Dec 2025 - >30 Dec 2025)
20 forecasters
When will OpenAI first report that an AI system has achieved the following a risk levels on Cybersecurity?
1 forecaster