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12 comments
82 forecasters

Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026?

Current estimate
Top Key Factors
Media frenzy suggests nomination decision soon
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
1 vote
Prediction market leans 77% towards nomination
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
1 vote
Duffy competes but indirectly helps Isaacman
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
2 votes

Authors:
exmateriae
Opened:Oct 27, 2025
Closes:Dec 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 31, 2025
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
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