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6 comments
48 forecasters

On May 1st, what percentage of Americans will be "very worried" that they, someone in their family or someone else they know will become infected with the coronavirus?

community
30.6
result
31.2
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:Apr 21, 2020
Closes:Apr 30, 2020
Resolved:May 3, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 22, 2020
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard

What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?

15 % mentioning
(6 - 27)
15 % mentioning
(6 - 27)
126 forecasters

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.833%
(0.385 - 1.42)
0.833%
(0.385 - 1.42)
40 forecasters

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

Low
94.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)
4.9%
High (or above, such as Very High)
1%
50 forecasters
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