274 forecasters

Will the first AGI be based on deep learning?

95%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jun 7, 2020

Closes:

Dec 30, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 9, 2020

AI Progress Essay Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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