6 forecasters

Will the United States attack Nigeria before 2027?

Current estimate

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 4, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 4, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 8, 2025

Nigeria Responds to Donald Trump ‘Guns-a-Blazing’ Warning

Newsweek•Nov 3, 2025

Trump Threatens Military Intervention in Nigeria

AntiWar•Nov 3, 2025

Trump news at a glance: president threatens military action in Nigeria over alleged killings of Christians

Guardian•Nov 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

Will the USA invade Mexico and acknowledge that invasion before January 20, 2029?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?