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2
10
forecasters
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10 forecasters
Metaculus Learning Academy
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What will the Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot (for the 2026 midterms) on December 2, 2025?
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4.76 Percentage Points
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5.6 Percentage Points
Resolved
5.6 Percentage Points
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US Congress Control After 2026 Midterms
Dem Senate / Dem House
39.4%
Rep Senate / Rep House
10.1%
Dem Senate / Rep House
1%
Rep Senate / Dem House
49.5%
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US Senate plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
47.2%
Republicans
52.7%
Other
0.1%
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US House plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
85.8%
Republicans
14.1%
Other
0.1%
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Dem House before 2027?
10.6%
chance