19
373 forecasters
Will Russia gain control of Kostiantynivka before January 11, 2026?
ResolvedNo
Russians 1.5km from Kostiantynivka
Increases Likelihood
Urban combat in Kostiantynivka already underway
Decreases Likelihood
Russian advance pace too slow for capture
Decreases Likelihood
Kyiv pressured to agree to peace plan
Increases Likelihood