67
1.1k forecasters
Will the US impose any new import restriction upon China before March 14, 2026?
Annulled
Trump Threatens 25% Tariff For Countries That Trade With Iranppai.org•Jan 13, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Next Trump-Xi meeting to be held in April 2026
Increases Likelihood
Trump ‘immediately’ imposes 25% tariffs on countries that do business with Iran. That could include ChinaCNN•Jan 13, 2026
Increases Likelihood
China controls rare earths supply
Decreases Likelihood
Final Affirmative Determinations in the Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Investigations of Hard Empty Capsules from Brazil, the People's Republic of China, India, and the Socialist Republic of Vietnamtrade.gov•Jan 16, 2026
Increases Likelihood
US-China tensions resolved through negotiation
Decreases Likelihood
US midterm elections in November 2026 will likely be based around the economy and the issue of affordability.
Decreases Likelihood
2025 Updates to the Strategy to Prevent the Importation of Goods Mined, Produced, or Manufactured with Forced Labor in the People’s Republic of China | Homeland Securitydhs.gov•Aug 18, 2025
Increases Likelihood