27
108 forecasters
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2027?
ResolvedYes
Death toll in crackdown on protests in Iran spikes to at least 538 , activists sayapnews.com•Jan 11, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Trump has a history of following through with threats of attack
Increases Likelihood
Iranian protests are growing. Israel is watching closelyapnews.com•Jan 11, 2026
Decreases Likelihood