Question

What will be the total damage incurred by climate change in the 21st century as measured by its impact on GDP?

Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
16.5 % of GDP
(5.53 % of GDP - 44.5 % of GDP)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<-105.9%
Quartiles
lower 25%5.535
median16.51
upper 75%44.52
Upper bound
>5018.3%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Opened:Oct 9, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2101
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 11, 2020