19 comments
181 forecasters
Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jan 8, 2017
Closes:Dec 31, 2017
Resolved:Jan 3, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2017
Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?
62% chance
38
When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?
Jan 2033
(26 Dec 2027 - Jul 2048)
Jan 2033
(26 Dec 2027 - Jul 2048)
39 forecasters
Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?
96% chance
2.7k