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38 comments
50 forecasters

What will the May 2020 US nonfarm payrolls figure be?

community
-10
result
2.5
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:May 9, 2020
Closes:May 31, 2020
Resolved:Jun 7, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:May 11, 2020
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What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?

Dec-22
223k
Jan-23
Above upper bound
Feb-23
311k
31 others
43 forecasters

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

2030
10%
2026
2%
2023
No
1 other
43 forecasters

Will 20 million Americans be laid off from private sector jobs in any quarter before 2030?

7% chance
13
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