MetaculusM

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What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

6

Make a Prediction

TBD group label	resolution
Dec-22	3.5
Jan-23	3.4
Feb-23	3.6
Mar-23	3.5
Apr-23	3.4
May-23	3.7
Jun-23	3.6
Jul-23	3.5
Aug-23	3.8
Sep-23	3.8
Oct-23	3.9
Nov-23	3.7
Dec-23	3.7
Jan-24	3.7
Feb-24	3.9
Mar-24	3.8
Apr-24	3.9
May-24	4
June-24	4.1
July-24	4.3
Aug-24	4.2
Sep-24	4.1
	25th	median	75th
Oct-24	3.89 ...	4.03 ...	4.16 ...
Nov-24	7 ...	7 ...	7 ...
Dec-24	7 ...	7 ...	7 ...
Jan-24	7 ...	7 ...	7 ...
Feb-24	7 ...	7 ...	7 ...

<2

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5

0.2%

3.531

3.696

3.852

0.9%

What was the final result?3.5

Community Baseline Score

48.4

Community Peer Score

32.6

Forecast Timeline

Dec-22

Feb-23

Jan-23

Aug-24

Sep-24

July-24

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economic Indicators

Economy & Business

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economic Indicators

Economy & Business

Bureau of Labor Statistics