Question
LRT 1.6: When will the daily number of new hospital admissions for COVID-19 illness in New York City drop below 200 for the first time since mid-March?
Resolved:09 May 2020Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction
04 May 2020
(<30 Apr 2020 - 13 May 2020 11:17)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30 Apr 2020 | 29.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <30 Apr 2020 | — |
| median | 04 May 2020 | — |
| upper 75% | 13 May 2020 11:17 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15 Jun 2020 | 2.3% | — |
What was the final result?09 May 2020
Community Peer Score
40.2
Community Baseline Score
12.6
Authors:
Opened:Apr 20, 2020
Closes:Apr 21, 2020
Resolves:May 20, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2020
What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?
142
When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?
>22 Dec 2025
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
45.6%
Authors:
Opened:Apr 20, 2020
Closes:Apr 21, 2020
Resolves:May 20, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2020
What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?
142
When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?
>22 Dec 2025
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
45.6%