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52 forecasters
What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?
Current estimate
166 trillions $
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2020
How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?
3.4 years
(-1.56 - 13.9)
3.4 years
(-1.56 - 13.9)
65 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?
8.61%
(3.54 - 19.2)
8.61%
(3.54 - 19.2)
33 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?
30.4k $
(21.2k - 47.6k)
30.4k $
(21.2k - 47.6k)
17 forecasters