5
91 forecasters
How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness?
0
1
2
3
4
Florida eliminated implies max 3 #1 seeds
Decreases Likelihood
Recent results are much more uncertain than in the past
Decreases Likelihood for 4
Base rate for 3 #1 seeds is 37.5%
Increases Likelihood for 3