Question

Metaculus vs. Experts: Will experts beat Metaculus on LRT1 questions resolving before 10th of May?

Resolved:Ambiguous

7

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction

66.3%

(58% - 69%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66.3%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 26, 2020

Closes:

Apr 27, 2020

Resolves:

Jul 12, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 26, 2020

2020 Leaderboard

Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 26, 2020

Closes:

Apr 27, 2020

Resolves:

Jul 12, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 26, 2020

2020 Leaderboard

Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?