13
109 forecasters

Who will be Iran's Supreme Leader on January 1, 2027?

Mojtaba Khamenei
91.1%
Someone else
4.3%
None
1.5%
Alireza Arafi
0.9%
Top Key Factors
Mojtaba Khamenei's health is uncertain
Decreases LikelihoodĀ for Mojtaba Khamenei
IRGC benefits from current leadership vacuum
Decreases Likelihood