53
273 forecasters
Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026?
ResolvedNo
Trump said 'nothing was off the table' and troops are on their way
Increases Likelihood
US can strike targets without ground forces
Decreases Likelihood
US air superiority reduces need for ground invasion
Decreases Likelihood
Trump wants to get out asap and see oil prices go down
Decreases Likelihood
Analysis: US troops in Iran? What Americans think, and what it would mean | CNN Politicscnn.com•Mar 17, 2026
Decreases Likelihood