17 comments
65 forecasters
How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?
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Opened:May 10, 2020
Closes:Jul 1, 2023
Resolved:Aug 11, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 12, 2020
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By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
58% chance
103
When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?
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When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?
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