Question

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

community: 52.2%

median 52.2%mean 52.2%

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Intersex medical interventions

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

40%

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02-08

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Intersex medical interventions

Don’t expect human life expectancy to grow much more, researcher says

Associated Press•Oct 8, 2024

Human life expectancy pushed to maximum limit, gains slowing down, study finds

Independent•Oct 8, 2024

Don’t Expect to Live Significantly Longer, At Least Not in This Century

Time•Oct 8, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

40%

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02-08

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%