7
104 forecasters
How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026?
0
1
2
3
No Decision
ICC hearings with confirmation of all charges
9in12
Duterte is 80 years old, illness or death might bring unexpected results
Decreases Likelihood for No Decision
ICC case vs Duterte: What happens next?philstar.com•Mar 26, 2002
Decreases Likelihood
"Substantial grounds" standard is low
Increases Likelihood