16
43 forecasters
Will the Cuban government lose power before 2027?
10%chance
Top Key Factors
Fin de la guerra en Irán
Increases Likelihood
Sanctioned Russian Diesel Tanker Fails to Reach Cuba | OilPrice.comoilprice.com•May 26, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Oil delivery from Russia resumes
Decreases Likelihood
Russian oil tanker reaches Cuba as US blockade seemingly loosenedbbc.co.uk•Mar 30, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Fin de la guerra en Irán
Increases Likelihood
Sanctioned Russian Diesel Tanker Fails to Reach Cuba | OilPrice.comoilprice.com•May 26, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Oil delivery from Russia resumes
Decreases Likelihood
Russian oil tanker reaches Cuba as US blockade seemingly loosenedbbc.co.uk•Mar 30, 2026
Decreases Likelihood