20
177 forecasters
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026?
ResolvedNo
Live updates: Trump agrees to two-week ceasefire with Iran | CNNedition.cnn.com•Apr 8, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Insurance blockade slows ship passage
Decreases Likelihood
Reports that Iran will allow only 10-15 ships / day to pass through Strait of Hormuz | investingLiveinvestinglive.com•Apr 8, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Trump extends Iran deadline by five days and claims ‘productive’ talkstheguardian.com•Mar 23, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Trump tells Iran it has 48 hours to open Hormuz or US will ‘obliterate’ its power plantstheguardian.com•Mar 22, 2026
Increases Likelihood