Question
When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
Jul 2034
(01 Mar 2028 - Feb 2051)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 01 Mar 2028 | — |
| median | Jul 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2051 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 10.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 11, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 11, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 3, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 11, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 11, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 3, 2021
