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Which Artemis Moon Mission landing system will first land a person on the moon?

At the end of April, NASA announced the selection of three private companies to develop a lunar lander:

NASA has selected three U.S. companies to design and develop human landing systems (HLS) for the agency’s Artemis program, one of which will land the first woman and next man on the surface of the Moon by 2024.

The three companies are:

  1. Blue Origin
  2. Dynetics
  3. SpaceX

This question asks: Which of these three companies will be first in developing a lunar landing system that successfully lands a person on the moon?

This question will resolve to precisely 1,2 or 3 when a lander build by the respective team successfully lands a living human on the moon. In the case that none of the 3 successfully lands a living human on the moon before January 1, 2030, the question will resolve to a value of 0.

If two of the teams merge or NASA selects a different company to develop a lunar lander, the question will resolve ambiguously.


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