Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

Pending

This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

Submitted

This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Which Artemis Moon Mission landing system will first land a person on the moon?

Question

At the end of April, NASA announced the selection of three private companies to develop a lunar lander:

NASA has selected three U.S. companies to design and develop human landing systems (HLS) for the agency’s Artemis program, one of which will land the first woman and next man on the surface of the Moon by 2024.

The three companies are:

  1. Blue Origin
  2. Dynetics
  3. SpaceX

This question asks: Which of these three companies will be first in developing a lunar landing system that successfully lands a person on the moon?


This question will resolve to precisely 1,2 or 3 when a lander build by the respective team successfully lands a living human on the moon. In the case that none of the 3 successfully lands a living human on the moon before January 1, 2030, the question will resolve to a value of 0.

If two of the teams merge or NASA selects a different company to develop a lunar lander, the question will resolve ambiguously.

Categories:
Technology – Space

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.