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27 forecasters

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27 forecasters

Metaculus Learning Academy

Will United Airlines and American Airlines announce a definitive merger agreement before January 1, 2027?

14.8%chance

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0 comments48 forecasters

US-China Bilateral Trade Agreement in 2026?

3 comments23 forecasters

Will FAA eVTOL passenger service be open to public in U.S. city before 2027?

6 comments111 forecasters

US government control of any US AI company or project before 2029?

1 comment5 forecasters

US gov cease int'l arrival processing at major airport for 3+ days before 2027?

Current estimate

3 comments37 forecasters

Mag 7 shares crash before 2027?

2 comments14 forecasters

USPS privatized before Jan 20, 2029?

1 comment167 forecasters

AI safety checks mandated before Jan 20, 2029?

7 comments113 forecasters

Will the US government mandate security clearance from the employees that lead the research and development of the top models at OpenAI, Deepmind, or Anthropic before 2028?