9
22 forecasters
9 comments
22 forecasters
When will commercially available robots be able to build a personal computer on their own?
Current estimate
13 Jun 2030
Top Key Factors
Millimeter-scale precision tasks with several components at once
Delays
A Steerable Model with Emergent Capabilitiesphysicalintelligence.company•Apr 16, 2026
Hastens
Standardized components and subtasks eases robot generalization
Hastens
Gemini Robotics ER 1.6: Enhanced Embodied Reasoningdeepmind.google•Apr 22, 2026
Hastens
ENPIRE: Agentic Robot Policy Self-Improvement in the Real Worldresearch.nvidia.com•Jun 18, 2026
Delays
Millimeter-scale precision tasks with several components at once
Delays
A Steerable Model with Emergent Capabilitiesphysicalintelligence.company•Apr 16, 2026
Hastens
Standardized components and subtasks eases robot generalization
Hastens
Gemini Robotics ER 1.6: Enhanced Embodied Reasoningdeepmind.google•Apr 22, 2026
Hastens
ENPIRE: Agentic Robot Policy Self-Improvement in the Real Worldresearch.nvidia.com•Jun 18, 2026
Delays