Question
How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction
480 $
(273 $ - 876 $)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10 $ | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 272.7 $ | — |
| median | 479.9 $ | — |
| upper 75% | 876 $ | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50k $ | 0.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 6, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:May 8, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 6, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:May 8, 2020