Question
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction
7.1
(6.3 - 7.7)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5 | 7.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 6.301 | — |
| median | 7.1 | — |
| upper 75% | 7.698 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2033
Scheduled resolution:Aug 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2033
Scheduled resolution:Aug 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2020